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sensex today: Stock Market LIVE Updates: Sensex jumps 250 points as RBI hikes rates in line with expectations; rupee trades above 79 per dollar

MtR by MtR
August 5, 2022
in Stocks
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sensex today: Stock Market LIVE Updates: Sensex jumps 250 points as RBI hikes rates in line with expectations; rupee trades above 79 per dollar


Sensex Today Live: Indian shares advanced, the rupee strengthened and bond yields rose after the country’s central bank hiked a key policy rate for the third time to tackle persistently high inflation in Asia’s third-largest economy.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raised the key policy repo rate by 50 basis points.

“With inflation expected to remain above the upper tolerance threshold in Q2 and Q3 of the current financial year, the MPC stressed that sustained high inflation could de-stabilise inflation expectations and harm growth in the medium term,” RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said.

India’s annual consumer inflation remained above the 7% mark in June and beyond the RBI’s upper tolerance limit of 6% for the sixth month in a row.

The NSE Nifty 50 index rose 0.32% to 17,436.95 by 0454 GMT, and the S&P BSE Sensex advanced 0.36% to 58,509.13, after the policy decision.

India’s 10-year benchmark bond yield rose to 7.2317% after the policy decision, while the rupee was trading at 79.03 per dollar.

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!1 New UpdateClick here for latest updates

With inflation expected to be above 6% for Q2 and Q3, we expect regular RBI interventions in the next 2 quarters – Q2 and Q3 of FY 23 – to ensure rupee stability. With inflation expected to go below 6% in Q4 of FY 23 and then to go down further in Q1 of FY 24, we expect RBI to not to use rate hikes as a tool anymore in those quarters and move to liquidity management measures to ensure that the growth is not stifled. Rural demand still shows a mixed trend despite a broadening economic activity and hence we expect the RBI to use rate hikes more sparingly.

– Vivek iyer- Partner and leader , Financial services risk, Grant Thornton Bharat

RBI MPC voted unanimously hike repo rate by 50 bps to 5.4% – taking to pre pandemic levels. RBI MPC is line with our expectations. Inflation seems to be at the forefront of the move as they maintained CPI forecasts intact at 6.7% for FY 23. To us, this means we are not done with rate hiking cycle yet and we could brace for continued northward journey in rates. Withdrawal of accommodative stance has been maintained. We see this as a “no dovish” undertone policy contrary to markets expecting a dovish stance. Bond markets would now focus on incremental gsec supply and take cues from global bond yields going forward. Staggered investment approach in fixed income stays.

– Lakshmi Iyer, Chief Investment Officer (Debt) & Head Products, Kotak Mahindra Asset Management Company

RBI’s action and statement today was not as dovish as we expected. Therefore, it is very likely that the terminal rate in this rate hike episode will be higher than our expectations. We, thus, revise it to 5.75-6% from 5.5% expected earlier.

– Nikhil Gupta, Chief Economist at MOFSL Group

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We had expected the RBI to hike the interest rate by 25-35 basis points. However, it has hiked by 50 basis points. One of the reasons why the RBI has decided to act a tad aggressive in hiking the rate of interest is to protect the Indian currency.

– Sunil Damania, Chief Investment Officer, MarketsMojo

The 50 bp repo rate hike came 15 bp higher than the majority expectation of a 35bp hike. It is evident that the MPC is frontloading the rate hikes since it feels that “CPI inflation is above comfort levels”. The MPC has been emboldened to go for this 50 bp hike since “the economic activity is resilient” and “withdrawal of accommodation stance is necessary to anchor inflation expectations”. The RBI governor went so far as to say that “the Indian economy is holding steady in an ocean of turbulence”. The capacity utilization in industry at 75% is higher than the long-term average. This positive view on the economy has been well received by the stock market in spite of the higher at hand expected repo rate hike.

– Dr. V K Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services

CITI INITIATES PAIR TRADE

  • Overweight on Zomato; Underweight at Info Edge
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  • Zomato’s stock has significantly corrected this year (-60%) vs Info Edge (-20%)
  • For Zomato, we think many of the concerns/risks are factored in
  • Zomato valuations premium vs global peers is more reasonable
  • Info Edge on the other hand faces a few risks

With inflation expected to remain above the upper tolerance threshold in Q2 and Q3 of the current financial year, the MPC stressed that sustained high inflation could de-stabilise inflation expectations and harm growth in the medium term.

– RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said while announcing the policy decision.

Rise in term deposit rates should increase liquidity for financial sector

– Shaktikanta Das, RBI Governor

Market LIVE Updates: Nifty Auto trades in the red post RBI outcome

Market LIVE Updates: Nifty Auto trades in the red post RBI outcome

RBI POLICY | SHAKTIKANTA DAS ON RUPEE

  • RBI will remain vigilant on the liquidity front
  • Rupee depreciation has happened in an orderly fashion
  • Rupee has lost 4.7% vs the US dollar
  • Rupee depreciation on account of strengthening of dollar
  • We remain watchful and focused on maintaing the stability of rupee

Consumer price inflation remains uncomfortably high; inflation expected to remain above 6%

– Shaktikanta Das, RBI Governor

Shaktikanta Das on inflation projection for FY23

FY23 Inflation seen at 6.7%Q2: 7.1%Q3: 6.4%Q4: 5.8%

FY23 GDP growth seen at 7.2%, says RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das

RBI POLICY | SHAKTIKANTA DAS SAYS

  • Financial sector remains well capitalised
  • India’s forex reserves provide insurance against global spillovers

Bond yields rise after RBI decision

#MarketAlert | India's benchmark 10-year bond yield rises to 7.20% after RBI policy decision #RBI #RateHike… https://t.co/lg2yGvHrAS

— ET NOW (@ETNOWlive) 1659674689000

RBI Governor on economy

IMF has revised downwards economic growth projection and expressed risk of recession: RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das

— Press Trust of India (@PTI_News) 1659674483000

Inflation expected to remain above tolerance levels

– Shaktikanta Das, RBI Governor

POLICY OUTCOME | RBI GOVERNOR SAYS

  • Financial markets have remained uneasy despite heavy intervention
  • Core inflation remains at elevated levels
  • MPC noted domestic economy resilient

Sensex reaction to RBI policy move

Sensex reaction to RBI policy move

MPC focussed on withdrawal of liquidity: RBI Governor

RBI MPC hikes repo rate by 50 bps to 5.40%

RBI MPC hikes repo rate by 50 bps to 5.40%

Witnessed large portfolio outflows of $13.3 billion so far

– Shaktikanta Das, RBI Governor

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The Indian rupee’s volatility, measured in terms of the daily close-to-close, reached its highest level since late-March ahead of the Reserve Bank of India’s policy decision. The RBI is widely expected to raise the repo rate as it continues its battle to control inflation. Economists, however, differ on the size of the rate hike that the RBI will deliver as the central bank aims to strike the right balance between inflation and growth.

India bond yields fall ahead of RBI policy decision (Source: Reuters)

Indian government bond yields dropped on Friday, with the 10-year yield trading at a three-month low, after global oil prices fell overnight, while market participants awaited a Reserve Bank of India policy decision for further cues.

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Price as on 05 Aug, 2022 09:55 AM, Click on company names for their live prices.

Rupee moves above 79 per dollar

Rupee rises 46 paise to 78.94 against US dollar in early trade

— Press Trust of India (@PTI_News) 1659672023000

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Market View: Dr. V K Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services

RBI rate action today is unlikely to impact markets. The most likely scenario of a 30 to 35 bp rate hike is already known and discounted by the market . Market will be looking forward to the RBI’s commentary on inflation, GDP growth for FY 23 and other macros like CAD.

The momentum in the market now is influenced by global cues and strong FII buying which has crossed Rs 5300 cr so far in August. The decline in Brent crude to $94 is positive for India’s macros and the dip in dollar index to below 106 again augur well for capital flows to India.FII buying happening in sectors like capital goods, FMCG, construction and power is likely to impart resilience to these segments.

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Price as on 05 Aug, 2022 09:22 AM, Click on company names for their live prices.

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BSE Sensex ended 51.73 points or 0.09 per cent lower at 58,298.80. Its NSE counterpart, Nifty50, ended 6 points or 0.04 per cent down to close at Rs 17,382.

Good morning, dear reader! Here’s something to kickstart your trading day

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